Crux

Chamber two

Range

Superforecasting is a gym, not a gift. A proposition. A probability. A resolution. The Brier score does not care how the miss felt.

0 resolved·Brier —·Skill vs 50% —
Physics21 / 28

Sound travels faster in water than in air.

Assign a probability that this proposition is true.

50%

0 is impossible. 50 is a coin. 100 is certainty.

NoTossupYes

Tossup