Chamber one
Inspect
Stake a prior before you look. The assay is not a verdict. It is a second vantage — steelman, objection, crux, and a band for how sure public evidence actually warrants.
Your prior
How probable is it that this claim is true — before the assay? Say it now, or the report will colonize the number.
50%
0 is impossible. 50 is a coin. 100 is certainty.
NoTossupYes
Tossup
0/1600 · the prior is locked at submit